The Future Elderly Model
The Future Elderly Model (FEM) is a demographic and economic
simulation model designed to predict the future costs and health status
of the elderly and explore what current trends or future shifts imply
for policy. Developed by Dana Goldman and his colleagues at the Roybal
Center, the model uses a representative sample of approximately 100,000
Medicare beneficiaries age 65 and over drawn from the Medicare Current
Beneficiary Surveys, national surveys that ask Medicare beneficiaries
about chronic conditions, use of health care services, medical care
spending, and health insurance coverage. Each beneficiary in the sample
is linked to Medicare claims records to track actual medical care use
and costs over time.
Click here for more information on the Future Elderly Model (FEM).